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Northeast Delta

Tensas, Madison, Franklin, Richland, Morehouse and the two Carroll parishes. The same alluvial valley as the Grand Prairie and the Yazoo, and the only ground in Louisiana where mallards are the point.

4.8

Stable / Staging

Stable Birds / Staging

Low confidence↑ +0.3 last 24hGadwall 4.5

Pintails score, conditions as of Tue, Nov 3, 8:00 PM

Northeast Delta

4.8

Steady temps

Legal light 5:53 AMSunrise 6:23 AMSunset 5:14 PM🌗 Last quarter · 40%

5AM9SE · 67°
6AM8SE · 66°
7AM7SE · 66°
8AM12SE · 69°
9AM12SE · 72°
10AM14SSE · 74°
11AM14SSE · 76°
7.4Decoy score · WorkableWorking wind: 11 mph through the morning · Midweek rest: birds have settled since the weekend crowds

Best window: Legal light (5:53 AM) to 10:00 AM

No push wind forecast; first light is the best bet

Temperatures falling about 11°F over the next 48 hours

  • Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water

Proposed season dates · West Zone November 14 to December 6, 2026 and December 19, 2026 to January 24, 2027, youth and veterans November 7, 2026 and January 30, 2027. East Zone November 21 to December 6, 2026 and December 19, 2026 to January 31, 2027, youth and veterans November 14, 2026 and February 6, 2027. These are published but not finalised.

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Louisiana Wildlife and Fisheries.

Flooded rice and crawfish ponds: OpenMarsh ponds, bayous and brakes: OpenThe Basin, the lakes and the coast: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last 6 days, counting the next 2 at half (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water (89% of Louisiana in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Temperatures falling about 11°F over the next 48 hours
  • Corn harvest roughly 99% complete, heavy field feed available

Fair

Temperatures falling about 11°F over the next 48 hours. Corn harvest roughly 99% complete, heavy field feed available. Strongest window: Tue into Wed.

Pintails
4.8Tue34.1Wed4

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend22% weight
6.1

Temps falling ~11°F into the next 48h

Wind direction + speed19% weight
2.9

NW winds to 8 mph across 4 of the next 48h

Freeze north of region9% weight
1.5

0% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream6% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding14% weight
6.1

89% of the state in drought: less water, and birds stacked on what is left

Season timing19% weight
4.0

Shoulder of the migration window

Crop harvest / field feed11% weight
9.9

Corn ~99%, beans ~99% (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports0% weight
5.0

No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

72°Fnow
SSW 9 mphwind
↓ 11°next 24h, falling
DayHi / LoWindSnow
TueNov 378° / 66°SSE 14 mph
WedNov 469° / 57°NW 8 mph
ThuNov 572° / 54°NNE 7 mph
FriNov 680° / 61°NE 9 mph
SatNov 772° / 53°NE 12 mph
SunNov 862° / 51°N 11 mph
MonNov 967° / 50°N 7 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.