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Central and the Pearl

Ross Barnett, the upper Pearl and the Big Black bottoms around Jackson. Reservoir roosts with river and creek feeds either side.

4.4

Stable / Staging

Stable Birds / Staging

High confidence↑ +0.4 last 24hGadwall 4.5

Snow Geese score, conditions as of Tue, Nov 3, 9:00 PM

Central and the Pearl

4.4

Steady temps

Legal light 5:48 AMSunrise 6:18 AMSunset 5:07 PM🌗 Last quarter · 40%

5AM9SE · 64°
6AM9SE · 65°
7AM10SE · 66°
8AM13SE · 68°
9AM12SSE · 70°
10AM12SSE · 73°
11AM13SSE · 76°
7.6Decoy score · WorkableWorking wind: 11 mph through the morning · Midweek rest: birds have settled since the weekend crowds

Best window: Legal light (5:48 AM) to 10:00 AM

No push wind forecast; first light is the best bet

Temperatures falling about 10°F over the next 48 hours

  • Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water

Season dates · November 27-29, 2026, December 4-6, 2026, then December 9, 2026 to January 31, 2027. Youth, veterans and active military days February 6-7, 2027.

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Mississippi Wildlife, Fisheries and Parks.

Flooded fields and sheet water: OpenBrakes, oxbows and green timber: OpenReservoirs, the river and the coast: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last 6 days, counting the next 2 at half (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water (88% of Mississippi in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Temperatures falling about 10°F over the next 48 hours
  • Corn harvest roughly 99% complete, heavy field feed available

Fair

Temperatures falling about 10°F over the next 48 hours. Corn harvest roughly 99% complete, heavy field feed available. Strongest window: Tue into Wed.

Snow Geese
4.4Tue34.0Wed4

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend21% weight
5.7

Temps falling ~10°F into the next 48h

Wind direction + speed19% weight
2.9

NW winds to 8 mph across 4 of the next 48h

Freeze north of region11% weight
1.5

0% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream7% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding13% weight
6.5

88% of the state in drought: less water, and birds stacked on what is left

Season timing19% weight
2.6

Outside the main migration window

Crop harvest / field feed11% weight
9.7

Corn ~99%, beans ~96% (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports0% weight
5.0

No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

71°Fnow
SSE 8 mphwind
↓ 12°next 24h, falling
DayHi / LoWindSnow
TueNov 377° / 64°SE 13 mph
WedNov 471° / 56°WNW 10 mph
ThuNov 573° / 52°NNE 7 mph
FriNov 678° / 56°NNE 7 mph
SatNov 769° / 47°NNE 8 mph
SunNov 867° / 45°NNE 7 mph
MonNov 965° / 47°NE 7 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.