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Albemarle Sound

Camden, Pasquotank, Perquimans, Chowan, Gates and Hertford: the fresh upper sound, the North River marshes and the black-water rivers. Wood ducks, teal, ringnecks and black ducks.

2.1

Stable / Staging

Post-Season, Birds Moved Through

3.8

Conditions

0.1

Birds here

High confidence→ 0.0 last 24hWood Ducks 4.8

Conditions here are scoring 3.8 this morning, and that number is the same for every duck on this water. The blue-winged teal score is held at 2.1 because the blue-winged teal numbers in this region read 0.1 out of 10 for the date. A good morning on birds that have not arrived is still a quiet morning.

Blue-winged Teal score, conditions as of Tue, Nov 3, 9:00 PM

Albemarle Sound

2.1

Warming 6° vs yesterday

Legal light 5:01 AMSunrise 5:31 AMSunset 4:09 PM🌗 Last quarter · 40%

5AM3NW · 51°
6AM3N · 50°
7AM2E · 55°
8AM2ESE · 61°
9AM3ENE · 66°
10AM5E · 70°
11AM4ENE · 72°
6.0Decoy score · ToughNear-calm morning: birds will circle high and look hard · Bluebird sky: expect wary, high birds · Midweek rest: birds have settled since the weekend crowds

Best window: Legal light (5:01 AM) to 10:00 AM

No push wind forecast; first light is the best bet

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the blue-winged teal numbers here this time of year

  • Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water

Season dates · Inland Duck Zone (west of I-95) October 15-17, November 7-28, and December 18, 2026 to January 30, 2027. Coastal Duck Zone (east of I-95) October 23-24, November 7-28, and December 17, 2026 to January 30, 2027. Youth and veteran days December 5, 2026 and February 6, 2027.

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with NC Wildlife.

Ponds, swamps and impoundments: OpenMarsh, creeks and canals: OpenThe open sounds and big lakes: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last 6 days, counting the next 2 at half (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water (62% of North Carolina in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the blue-winged teal numbers here this time of year
  • Corn harvest roughly 98% complete, heavy field feed available
  • A warming trend is settling birds in place
  • Off-season: the main migration window has not opened yet

Poor

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the blue-winged teal numbers here this time of year. Corn harvest roughly 98% complete, heavy field feed available. Strongest window: Tue into Wed.

Blue-winged Teal
2.1Tue32.1Wed4

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend31% weight
1.0

Warming ~8°F, no push trigger

Wind direction + speed21% weight
4.0

Light or variable winds

Freeze north of region2% weight
1.5

0% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream2% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding19% weight
8.2

62% of the state in drought: less water, and birds stacked on what is left

Season timing23% weight
0.1

Outside the main migration window

Crop harvest / field feed2% weight
7.4

Corn ~98%, beans ~44% (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports0% weight
5.0

No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

56°Fnow
NE 5 mphwind
↑ 6°next 24h, rising
DayHi / LoWindSnow
TueNov 375° / 50°E 7 mph
WedNov 476° / 52°SE 9 mph
ThuNov 578° / 60°S 12 mph
FriNov 678° / 62°SSW 15 mph
SatNov 765° / 47°NW 10 mph
SunNov 862° / 43°NW 10 mph
MonNov 968° / 45°WSW 7 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.