DuckCast
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Panhandle

Scottsbluff, Kimball and the Pine Ridge. High plains farm country hunted on irrigation reservoirs, the driest ground DuckCast scores after the Cheyenne breaks.

3.3

Stable / Staging

Pre-Season, Birds Still North

High confidence -0.3 last 24hPintails 3.4

Mallards score, conditions as of Tue, Sep 15, 12:00 PM

Panhandle

2.1

Warming 9° vs yesterday

Legal light 7:05 AMSunrise 7:35 AMSunset 8:03 PM🌒 Waxing crescent · 23%

5AM13SE · 57°
6AM14SE · 55°
7AM11SE · 55°
8AM13SE · 54°
9AM15SSE · 58°
10AM12SSE · 61°
11AM11SSE · 66°
7.6Decoy score · WorkableWorking wind: 13 mph through the morning · Midweek rest: birds have settled since the weekend crowds

Best window: Legal light (7:05 AM) to 10:00 AM

No push wind forecast; first light is the best bet

Northwest winds building to 16 mph

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Nebraska Game and Parks.

Playas and sheet water: OpenSandhill lakes and marsh: OpenReservoirs and river: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last two weeks (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Water on the landscape is in decent shape (0% of Nebraska in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Northwest winds building to 16 mph
  • A warming trend is settling birds in place
  • Off-season: the main migration window has not opened yet

Poor

Northwest winds building to 16 mph. A warming trend is settling birds in place. Strongest window: Tue into Wed.

Mallards
3.7Tue152.1Wed162.7Thu173.7Fri183.8Sat194.0Sun202.8Mon212.5Tue223.6Wed232.5Thu242.5Fri252.7Sat264.4Sun273.9Mon28

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend16% weight
1.0

Warming ~6°F, no push trigger

Wind direction + speed14% weight
5.9

NW winds to 16 mph across 4 of the next 48h

Freeze north of region16% weight
1.5

0% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream10% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding10% weight
9.0

Waters open, birds can stay and feed

Season timing14% weight
1.7

Outside the main migration window

Crop harvest / field feed8% weight
1.8

Corn ~5%, beans ~3% (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports12% weight
5.0

No recent hunter reports in this region

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

63°Fnow
SSE 6 mphwind
9°next 24h, rising
DayHi / LoWindSnow
TueSep 1572° / 52°ESE 18 mph
WedSep 1688° / 54°S 15 mph
ThuSep 1783° / 63°NE 20 mph
FriSep 1889° / 59°WNW 25 mph
SatSep 1984° / 60°NNW 19 mph
SunSep 2076° / 54°NNW 14 mph
MonSep 2180° / 53°ESE 11 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.