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Southwest

Altus-Lugert, Tom Steed and Fort Cobb with the North Fork of the Red River between them. Dry country where the reservoirs are the whole story.

4.3

Stable / Staging

Stable Birds / Staging

Low confidence↓ -0.7 last 24hMallards 5.0

Green-winged Teal score, conditions as of Tue, Nov 3, 9:00 PM

Southwest

4.3

Falling 8° vs yesterday

Legal light 6:29 AMSunrise 6:59 AMSunset 5:42 PM🌗 Last quarter · 40%

5AM18WNW · 55°
6AM17WNW · 54°
7AM17WNW · 54°
8AM17NW · 54°
9AM21NW · 57°
10AM23NNW · 59°
11AM24NNW · 61°
6.8Decoy score · WorkableWorking wind: 20 mph through the morning · Gusts to 40: decoys will look wrong on open water · Midweek rest: birds have settled since the weekend crowds

Best window: 10:00 AM to 12:00 PM

Built around the strongest northwest wind of the morning

Corn harvest roughly 98% complete, heavy field feed available

  • Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water

Season dates · Zones 1 and 2 November 14 to December 6, 2026 and December 12, 2026 to January 31, 2027. Panhandle October 10, 2026 to January 13, 2027.

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Oklahoma Wildlife Conservation.

Flooded fields and playas: OpenCreeks, sloughs and timber: OpenThe big reservoirs and rivers: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last 6 days, counting the next 2 at half (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water (87% of Oklahoma in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Corn harvest roughly 98% complete, heavy field feed available

Fair

Corn harvest roughly 98% complete, heavy field feed available. Strongest window: Tue into Wed.

Green-winged Teal
4.3Tue34.1Wed4

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend23% weight
3.5

Temps falling ~4°F into the next 48h

Wind direction + speed20% weight
4.0

Light or variable winds

Freeze north of region7% weight
1.5

0% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream5% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding14% weight
6.7

87% of the state in drought: less water, and birds stacked on what is left

Season timing20% weight
3.1

Shoulder of the migration window

Crop harvest / field feed11% weight
8.8

Corn ~98%, beans ~67% (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports0% weight
5.0

No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

56°Fnow
NNW 4 mphwind
↑ 1°next 24h, rising
DayHi / LoWindSnow
TueNov 367° / 53°NW 24 mph
WedNov 472° / 48°SW 9 mph
ThuNov 569° / 51°ENE 23 mph
FriNov 664° / 46°NNE 9 mph
SatNov 754° / 47°NE 10 mph
SunNov 863° / 44°NNE 7 mph
MonNov 967° / 46°S 13 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.