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Central

Keystone, Arcadia and the Deep Fork bottoms through the middle of the state. Hunted hard because the population is here.

2.3

Stable / Staging

Post-Season, Birds Moved Through

4.7

Conditions

0.3

Birds here

High confidence→ 0.0 last 24hMallards 5.0

Conditions here are scoring 4.7 this morning, and that number is the same for every duck on this water. The blue-winged teal score is held at 2.3 because the blue-winged teal numbers in this region read 0.3 out of 10 for the date. A good morning on birds that have not arrived is still a quiet morning.

Blue-winged Teal score, conditions as of Tue, Nov 3, 9:00 PM

Central

2.3

Falling 10° vs yesterday

Legal light 6:23 AMSunrise 6:53 AMSunset 5:33 PM🌗 Last quarter · 40%

5AM15WSW · 56°
6AM14WSW · 55°
7AM13WSW · 57°
8AM13WSW · 57°
9AM16W · 58°
10AM16WNW · 58°
11AM16WNW · 61°
7.7Decoy score · WorkableWorking wind: 15 mph through the morning · Low overcast keeps birds low and honest · Midweek rest: birds have settled since the weekend crowds

Best window: 9:00 AM to 12:00 PM

Built around the strongest northwest wind of the morning

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the blue-winged teal numbers here this time of year

  • Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water

Season dates · Zones 1 and 2 November 14 to December 6, 2026 and December 12, 2026 to January 31, 2027. Panhandle October 10, 2026 to January 13, 2027.

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Oklahoma Wildlife Conservation.

Flooded fields and playas: OpenCreeks, sloughs and timber: OpenThe big reservoirs and rivers: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last 6 days, counting the next 2 at half (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water (87% of Oklahoma in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the blue-winged teal numbers here this time of year
  • Corn harvest roughly 98% complete, heavy field feed available
  • Off-season: the main migration window has not opened yet

Poor

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the blue-winged teal numbers here this time of year. Corn harvest roughly 98% complete, heavy field feed available. Strongest window: Tue into Wed.

Blue-winged Teal
2.3Tue32.3Wed4

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend31% weight
4.6

Temps falling ~7°F into the next 48h

Wind direction + speed22% weight
2.7

NW winds to 9 mph across 1 of the next 48h

Freeze north of region1% weight
1.5

0% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream1% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding19% weight
6.7

87% of the state in drought: less water, and birds stacked on what is left

Season timing24% weight
0.3

Outside the main migration window

Crop harvest / field feed2% weight
8.8

Corn ~98%, beans ~67% (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports0% weight
5.0

No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

56°Fnow
NNW 9 mphwind
→ 0°next 24h, steady
DayHi / LoWindSnow
TueNov 364° / 53°W 19 mph
WedNov 469° / 47°W 8 mph
ThuNov 564° / 49°NE 17 mph
FriNov 661° / 45°NNE 12 mph
SatNov 758° / 46°NE 10 mph
SunNov 860° / 45°NNE 10 mph
MonNov 965° / 43°SSW 9 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.