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West Central North Dakota

Rolling prairie south of Lake Sakakawea. Stock dams and small potholes; wind-driven hunts.

3.7

Stable / Staging

Stable Birds / Staging

Moderate confidence↓ -1.7 last 24hMallards 4.7

Gadwall score, conditions as of Tue, Nov 3, 9:00 PM

West Central North Dakota

3.7

Falling 8° vs yesterday

Legal light 7:06 AMSunrise 7:36 AMSunset 5:32 PM🌗 Last quarter · 40%

5AM15NW · 35°
6AM15NW · 34°
7AM14NW · 34°
8AM14NW · 34°
9AM14NW · 34°
10AM14NNW · 34°
11AM14NNW · 35°
8.0Decoy score · Prime decoy dayWorking wind: 14 mph through the morning · Low overcast keeps birds low and honest · Midweek rest: birds have settled since the weekend crowds

Best window: 5:00 AM to 7:00 AM

Built around the strongest northwest wind of the morning

Corn harvest roughly 72% complete, heavy field feed available

  • Drier than normal: water is patchy

Season dates · Low Plains Unit September 26 to December 6, 2026. High Plains Unit September 26 to December 6, 2026 and December 12, 2026 to January 3, 2027. Residents only September 26 to October 4; nonresidents may begin October 5.

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with ND Game and Fish.

Sheet water: OpenPotholes: OpenBig water: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last 6 days, counting the next 2 at half (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Drier than normal: water is patchy (52% of North Dakota in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Corn harvest roughly 72% complete, heavy field feed available

Poor

Corn harvest roughly 72% complete, heavy field feed available. Strongest window: Tue into Wed.

Gadwall
3.7Tue33.6Wed4

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend18% weight
2.1

Flat temperature trend

Wind direction + speed16% weight
3.1

NW winds to 9 mph across 3 of the next 48h

Freeze north of region18% weight
2.1

4% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream11% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding11% weight
8.4

52% of the state in drought: water is patchier than normal

Season timing16% weight
3.4

Shoulder of the migration window

Crop harvest / field feed9% weight
8.5

Corn ~72%, beans ~94% (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports0% weight
5.0

No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

36°Fnow
WSW 4 mphwind
↑ 2°next 24h, rising
DayHi / LoWindSnow
TueNov 344° / 34°NW 17 mph
WedNov 452° / 34°NW 9 mph
ThuNov 546° / 34°SE 9 mph
FriNov 655° / 38°SW 7 mph
SatNov 759° / 40°WSW 11 mph
SunNov 861° / 42°SW 12 mph
MonNov 955° / 39°WNW 16 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.